YouGov / Sunday Times Survey Results
Sample Size: 1266
Fieldwork: 22nd - 24th October 2008
		Westminster Voting Intention				Referendum Vote					Gender		Age			Social Grade		Sunday Times Readers
Sunday Times	Total	Con	Lab	Lib Dem	SNP	Yes	No	DK	WNV	No/ DK/ WNV	M	F	18 - 34	35 - 54	55 +	ABC1	C2DE
All Scottish Adults	1266	210	405	115	314	389	676	172	29	877	599	667	356	459	451	684	582	147
Unweighted Sample	1266	235	425	100	324	383	709	157	17	883	631	635	264	354	648	785	481	207
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Westminster Headline Voting Intention
[Excluding Don't Knows and Wouldn't Vote]
Lab	38	0	100	0	0	18	51	31	2	48	36	40	45	41	30	35	41	35
SNP	29	0	0	0	100	67	7	35	27	11	33	25	16	27	41	29	30	26
Con	20	100	0	0	0	7	27	20	34	26	17	22	24	18	18	22	17	29
Lib Dem	11	0	0	100	0	7	13	14	0	13	11	11	13	12	9	11	11	8
Other	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	1	38	3	3	2	2	2	3	3	1	3
Westminster Other Parties Voting Intention
[Excluding Don't Knows and Wouldn't Vote]
Green	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	38	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	2
UKIP	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0
BNP	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Respect	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Other	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1
Westminster Non Voters
Would Not Vote	4	0	0	0	0	4	2	4	29	4	2	5	6	4	2	3	5	4
Don't know	12	0	0	0	0	6	9	31	46	15	8	15	13	12	11	11	12	6
Scottish Constituency Vote
[Excluding Don't Knows and Wouldn't Vote]
SNP	39	22	10	17	97	76	14	57	46	21	44	34	27	39	49	40	39	38
Labour	31	3	83	2	1	12	46	16	3	41	30	33	39	32	26	30	33	26
Conservative	14	68	1	1	1	5	20	12	0	18	12	16	16	14	12	15	13	21
Lib Dem	12	7	4	78	2	6	16	14	0	16	11	14	15	12	11	11	14	11
Other	3	1	2	2	0	2	4	1	51	4	3	3	3	3	3	4	2	4
Scottish Constituency Non Voters
Wouldn't vote	3	1	1	0	0	2	2	4	41	4	2	5	5	4	2	3	4	3
Don't know	9	2	3	1	2	4	7	25	40	12	6	12	9	11	8	9	10	10
Scottish Regional Vote
[Excluding Don't Knows and Wouldn't Vote]
SNP	32	14	9	16	81	65	11	40	29	16	35	30	19	33	42	31	34	31
Labour	29	3	75	1	1	11	41	17	2	37	26	31	35	28	24	27	31	24
Conservative	16	73	3	2	3	6	22	17	0	21	14	18	17	16	15	18	14	22
Lib Dem	11	7	6	59	2	4	15	12	0	14	10	12	14	12	8	11	11	7
Other	13	5	8	21	12	14	11	15	69	12	15	10	14	12	12	14	11	16
Scottish Regional Other Parties Vote
[Excluding Don't Knows and Wouldn't Vote]
Green	6	3	4	18	3	6	6	6	38	6	7	6	7	6	5	7	5	10
Scottish Socialist Party	4	0	2	0	8	6	2	6	0	3	4	3	3	3	4	4	3	4
Solidarity	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	3	31	1	1	1	2	1	0	1	1	0
Other	2	1	1	2	1	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	2	2	2	2	2	2
Scottish Regional Non Voters
Wouldn't vote	3	1	1	1	1	2	3	3	48	4	2	4	6	3	2	2	5	1
Don't know	11	2	5	5	3	6	8	31	22	13	7	15	10	14	9	11	11	9
The SNP wishes to hold a referendum on Scottish independence in due course. Voters would be asked whether they agree or disagree 'that the Scottish government should negotiate a settlement wit the Government of the United Kingdom so that Scotland becomes an independent state'
How would you vote if such a referendum were held tomorrow?
I would vote YES (i.e. for Scottish independence)	31	12	15	20	75	100	0	0	0	0	34	27	22	33	36	29	33	30
I would vote NO (i.e. against Scottish independence)	53	76	76	66	12	0	100	0	0	77	54	53	59	51	52	55	51	62
Don't know	14	10	9	14	12	0	0	100	0	20	10	17	12	16	12	15	13	7
Would not vote	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	100	3	1	3	7	1	0	1	3	0
The UK government recently invested £37 billion in Scottish banks to help them deal with the current economic crisis. Has this made you more or less likely to back Scottish independence?
Much more likely to back Scottish independence	11	4	5	1	32	35	0	4	0	1	14	9	7	10	15	10	13	14
Slightly more likely to back Scottish independence	5	2	3	2	11	11	1	4	17	3	5	5	4	5	6	5	6	5
Slightly less likely to back Scottish independence	11	13	13	11	7	9	10	24	2	12	11	12	17	9	9	12	11	13
Much less likely to back Scottish independence	17	21	28	15	3	1	29	5	16	24	17	16	14	17	18	18	15	25
Has made no difference	55	60	51	70	46	44	60	63	65	60	53	58	57	59	51	56	55	44
If David Cameron wins the next general election would this make you more likely or less likely to back Scottish independence?
Much more likely to back Scottish independence	25	4	24	17	51	57	8	19	0	10	29	21	18	24	30	24	26	24
Slightly more likely to back Scottish independence	15	1	23	19	14	12	16	18	0	16	15	14	14	16	15	17	12	16
Slightly less likely to back Scottish independence	4	9	3	3	3	4	4	2	9	4	4	3	4	3	5	4	4	5
Much less likely to back Scottish independence	6	14	7	3	2	1	10	3	0	8	6	6	5	4	9	5	7	9
Would make no difference	51	73	43	58	30	27	61	58	91	62	46	56	59	54	42	50	52	45
Which of the following do you believe would make the best Scottish first minister?
Alex Salmond the current SNP first minister	38	23	21	20	89	75	18	38	9	12	48	30	29	36	48	41	35	39
Iain Gray the Labour MSP	13	0	37	9	0	2	22	6	0	18	12	14	17	12	11	13	14	12
Annabel Goldie the Scottish Conservative leader	10	39	4	7	3	4	15	5	0	22	9	11	10	9	11	11	9	13
Tavish Scott the new Scottish Liberal Democrat leader	6	4	2	34	1	4	7	6	9	7	7	5	6	7	4	6	6	4
None of the above	15	20	20	20	3	5	22	10	14	20	16	14	14	18	14	15	16	20
Don't know	18	14	14	11	4	11	16	34	67	21	9	26	24	18	12	16	20	12
Who do you trust MOST to help steer Scotland through the current financial crisis?
Gordon Brown	42	16	85	51	13	21	60	26	11	52	43	42	45	44	39	43	42	41
Alex Salmond	23	10	5	13	68	56	6	24	0	9	28	19	17	21	31	23	24	21
David Cameron	8	41	1	2	1	4	11	5	0	9	7	8	11	6	7	8	7	8
Would not trust any of them	17	25	5	32	12	13	18	24	14	19	17	17	13	20	16	17	16	27
Don't know	10	8	4	2	6	7	6	20	75	11	5	14	15	9	7	9	11	3
And finally which if any of these Sunday newspapers do you read regularly (at least twice a month) these days?[Please tick all that apply]
The Mail on Sunday	16	28	15	9	14	14	18	13	0	14	14	17	14	12	21	17	14	22
Scotland on Sunday	14	15	14	15	17	18	13	11	3	4	16	12	13	14	15	17	11	20
News of the World	13	15	15	3	12	12	14	11	9	1	13	13	17	17	6	10	16	9
Sunday Times	12	18	11	9	11	11	14	6	2	17	15	8	10	9	15	15	7	100
Sunday Express	5	10	5	4	5	5	6	2	0	5	4	6	4	4	8	5	5	5
Sunday Mirror	4	2	8	4	4	4	5	2	0	12	5	3	4	3	5	5	3	9
The Observer	4	4	5	5	3	3	4	4	0	3	4	4	3	4	3	1	6	1
Sunday Telegraph	3	6	2	4	5	4	4	1	0	4	4	3	4	2	4	4	3	9
The Independent on Sunday	2	3	4	2	1	2	3	0	11	3	4	1	4	1	2	3	2	5
The People	1	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	2	2	1	1	1	2	0
Sunday Sport	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	1
Do not read a Sunday paper regularly	41	34	39	53	39	40	38	50	50	41	35	46	44	42	37	39	43	0
Don’t know	7	2	7	2	10	8	5	9	25	7	9	6	7	8	6	6	8	0